OBJ injured: What should we expect in Cleveland now? It is both a glorious and troubling time.
We can examine such measurements with confidence. Body Mass Index, or BMI, can be used as an indicator of high body fatness.
Armchair analysts confirm their biases about the quality of players. Arizona's primary slot receiver put together another solid season in 2019, ranking 17th in the league in receptions (75), while not dropping a single one of his 108 targets. @StatholeSports helps you find out where each of your... @JoeWarrenFF investigates what our expectations should be regarding the Cleveland Browns wide receivers.
The two dashed vertical lines represent the 25th and 75th percentile thresholds for players that finished their respective season as a top-36 WR in PPR scoring. The chart below shows the hand size relative to points-per-game for players designated as WR since 2000.
By doing so, we will be able to further recognize the significant correlation between measurements and fantasy performance. At 6'3", his handspan is around 14.1% wider than average for his height. In both cases, historical data will be presented in an as simple and insightful way as possible, and then used as a lens through which to examine the incoming class–in this case, the 2020 Rookies. We will be attempting to examine a player’s combine measurements and athletic performance in a way that relates directly to fantasy football. Get your trade game on! The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site.
While doing so may create more overlap on the graphs, it helps to highlight instances of consistency or outlier seasons. Week 2 Fantasy WAR Update: Why Aaron Jones is NOT the MVP Through Week 2, Do Efficiency Metrics Matter? I love working on the #NerdScore. Windhorst: Fitzgerald's Suns investment is smart for Sarver too, Fitzgerald: Murray's talent is out of this world, Fitzgerald: Kyler's 'really got the juice'. Join the #NERDHERD and gain premuim access to - extra Weekly Podcast, Rankings, Film Room and more... Dynasty Nerds Embroidered Champion Packable Jacket, #Nerdherd Pennant - American Apparel 3/4 sleeve raglan shirt, #Nerdherd Badge Members Only | American Apparel Long sleeve t-shirt. Fitzgerald has a very low ceiling and is only an option in very deep PPR leagues. In the case of the NFL, BMI can be used to get a better idea of a person’s athletic build.
At the same time, many of us recognize we are being pulled into the sensationalism of it–entire narratives are built off of a single unit of measurement. In addition, players with a hand size greater than 10.5 may be larger body athletes, to begin with, and thus hold a different position designation, such as Tight End. The second of the series will then look at the combine performance–such as 40 time and 3-cone drills.
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While there have not been any “true” WRs to record a top-12 season with a hand size greater than 10.5, this may be due to there being fewer players overall with hand size greater than 10.5. 6 RBs in for the 2021 class and one has a higher total than any from the 2020 class and another rated significantly lower than I expected
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Measurements capture important information–much of this information outside of weight remains static over the course of a player’s career.
Or do they? Cardinals' bolder Kyler Murray stays humble, Cardinals' receiver DeAndre Hopkins' XXXL hands are 'incredible', Cardinals' Kyler Murray: DeAndre Hopkins, Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk can all reach 1K yards, Fitz's goal: Turn protest momentum into change, Kliff Kingsbury: Cardinals support players' search for social justice, WR Fitzgerald doesn't recognize this Minneapolis, NFL all-decade: Best player on each NFC West team, every position, By the numbers: DeAndre Hopkins leads Larry Fitzgerald after seven seasons, DeAndre Hopkins gives Cardinals QB Kyler Murray everything he needs. In addition to comparing measurements and athletic performance to fantasy points, we identifying where players tend to finish in terms of fantasy scoring relative to their position rank in a PPR format. Coming less than a month after the Super Bowl, it reminds us that yes, Football is still alive and well; it allows us to begin putting measurements and metrics to our favorite college athletes. This series will begin to try to anchor our fantasy football-starved souls to the ground using historical data and making objective observations. Stafford news drops. Fitzgerald's role limited him to just one weekly finish better than 19th last season (ninth in Week 1). WRs, Part 2: SEP, TCR, and More. In this case, looking at a player’s points per game (PPG) is a preferred productive measure: while it is by no means perfect, it helps to translate these findings into meaningful, actionable data points. Notable 2020 WRs that are below the 25th percentile for top-36 receivers: Of the 515 WRs that have recorded a fantasy score since 2000, only 23 have had a hand size of 9 inches or less and had at least 1 top-36 season in PPR. Latest on Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald including news, stats, videos, highlights and more on ESPN
NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. In many cases, this resulted in a player such as Larry Fitzgerald creating a “stack” of multiple top-X seasons. No longer a downfield threat, Fitzgerald has ranked in the 17th percentile or lower in YPR in each of the past five seasons and hasn't cleared six touchdowns since 2015.
© 2020 NFL Enterprises LLC. Who... Aaron Jones leads all RB's in PPR points, yet a different RB is the... @ekballer is at it again testing efficiency metrics for usefulness. Unlike Wingspan, Arm Length has been consistently measured for the better part of the last 20 years. ESPN Fantasy Projection: Fitzgerald is back for his 17th NFL season. Larry Fitzgerald reaches 1,400 career receptions The Pitt great and Jerry Rice are the only NFL receivers to reach the milestone By Mike Wilson Oct 26, 2020, 1:30pm EDT For this study in particular, I am using fantasy data from 2000-2019. The NFL Combine is a beloved and despised event. The plot above demonstrates that Arm Size seems to be less important than Hand Size, as there is a broader distribution of top performers across all tiers.
Fitzgerald is entering his age-37 season and his targets will take another hit with DeAndre Hopkins now in the fold. This could further support the hypothesis that larger hands correlate to top-end fantasy production–at least for Wide Receivers.
This series will be written in 2 parts: the first will examine the historical data regarding measurements–such as hand size and arm length–and then examine the 2020 rookie class using the historical data as a filter. Regardless, we can split out the historical data around Arm Length into meaningful thresholds: Notable 2020 WRs with an arm length less than 31 (the 25th percentile for top-36 WRs): Past Pro WRs with an arm length of 31.5 or less that produced at least 1 top-12 season: There is clearly a better track record of football athletes with sub-25th percentile arm lengths. It is different than Wingspan, which measures the distance between the tips of a player’s middle fingers with arms extended. Fitzgerald is entering his age-37 season and his targets will take another hit with DeAndre Hopkins now in the fold. Dynasty Nerds Head of Analytics @SuperFlexerFF tells you what you need to know about keeping the numbers in the proper perspective.
Healthy Christian Kirk breaks free with his feet and fingertips, Vacuum the floor? Join over 10,000 subscribers and get updated on new podcast releases, private giveaways, new tools, mock drafts and more... We hate spam. Disclaimer: This series is in no way meant to identify locks or busts in the upcoming draft class.
Regardless, the thresholds for each production tier seem to be more meaningful: Notable 2020 Prospects with a BMI of less than 26.25 (the 25th percentile for top-36 WRs): Lastly, here are a few notable NFL athletes that had at least 1 top-12 season with a BMI below the WR3 25th percentile of 26.25: These measurements and the resulting research should not be viewed as the be-all, end-all metric for football player evaluation. If we look at how many players have put up a top-12 season with hands 9 inches or less, it’s only 5 players: The historical data indicates that hand size is more important for WRs than it is for other positions. NFL footage © NFL Productions LLC. Talking heads get paid six figures to discuss the relevance of a player’s hands, to dissect athletic movements that are rarely (if ever) employed on an actual football field. If a data point in a player’s profile stands out as a flag, consideration for other facets of a player’s profile–such as athletic or in-game performance–should be prioritized. In many cases, this resulted in a player such as Larry Fitzgerald creating a “stack” of multiple top-X seasons. Copyright: © 2020 ESPN Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved. YEAR TEAM G REC YDS AVG LNG TD 1st 1st% 20+ 40+ 2004 Arizona Cardinals These will warrant a different look as, unlike measurements, performance can change over time. A note of further clarification: in this exercise, I elected to count every season for every player as an individual data point. The result of Arm Length as it relates to Fantasy Football production can be seen below–again, the dashed vertical lines represent the 25th and 75th percentile boundaries for a top-36 fantasy WR. While doing so may create more overlap on the graphs, it helps to highlight instances of consistency or outlier seasons.
Hit the DynastyGM to see which teams he is rostered on. Rather, it is meant to provide objective and informative research with which we can view these players with as little bias as possible. This will be broken out throughout the regular season–post-season games will not be included. Fitzgerald's role limited him to just one weekly finish better than 19th last season (ninth in Week 1). By identifying the 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentile for hand size for players that finished in the top-12, top-24 and top-36, we can begin to identify thresholds for ideal hand size. Thanks @DynastyNerds #fantasyfootball @MyFantasyLeague. Still time for these to evolve as I dig deeper and more games become available but it sure is fun, The crystal balls made an appearance on this week's show , Easy as pie.